Politics Prediction Markets
Track market-implied probabilities for elections, policy outcomes and political events. Prices reflect what thousands of traders are betting in real time, not opinion polls.
18 active markets · Source: Polymarket · Informational only, not financial advice.
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$719.4K 24h vol · Resolves Expired34%
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$329.2K 24h vol · Resolves in 2d 13h37%
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$209.5K 24h vol · Resolves in 831d 13h3%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$172.6K 24h vol · Resolves in 2d 13h91%
- Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?$160.0K 24h vol · Resolves in 336d 13h3%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$116.2K 24h vol · Resolves in 2d 13h7%
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$115.5K 24h vol · Resolves Expired21%
- Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$111.3K 24h vol · Resolves in 33d 13h4%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$110.4K 24h vol · Resolves in 13h 45m98%
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$109.6K 24h vol · Resolves in 154d 13h82%
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$106.2K 24h vol · Resolves in 1d 13h5%
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$90.5K 24h vol · Resolves in 93d 13h46%
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$83.1K 24h vol · Resolves in 2d 13h6%
- Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$80.6K 24h vol · Resolves —8%
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$70.5K 24h vol · Resolves in 154d 13h86%
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$62.1K 24h vol · Resolves in 93d 13h10%
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$56.2K 24h vol · Resolves in 33d 13h61%
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$54.8K 24h vol · Resolves Expired6%